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UC San Diego. Cal State Northridge. Oddsmakers often attach a half-point, or hook, to the spread or total. Games cannot land on a half point, so the hook guarantees a winner and loser on each side of the bet.

Sportsbooks take a percentage of every bet to ensure profitability in the long run, and this tax is referred to as the juice. There is usually more juice associated with futures bets than with single-game wagers. Football has more key numbers than any sport, as teams tend to win by a field goal or a touchdown.

Games land on three points more than any other number, making it the most important key number in football. When a bettor wagers on the favorite to cover the spread, it is called laying the points. A bettor laying 3.

The most basic football sports betting term is the betting line or odds. Sportsbooks set an opening line and the odds are adjusted after bettors begin wagering. Monitoring line movement is one factor that bettors use to place smart bets. Pre-game betting is still the most common way to bet on a game, but live betting has created a chance for bettors to wager throughout the contest.

Some sportsbooks update their futures odds in the middle of games as well. Every game has a point spread, which determines the favorite and the underdog. Teams are commonly favored by three or seven points in football.

When a game lands exactly on the betting line, it results in a push. Some of the common pushes in football are when teams win by three or seven points.

Bettors get their original stake back in the case of a push, which can be disappointing or relieving based on the flow of the game.

The line will occasionally move in the opposite direction of the public betting action. This usually happens due to large bets from professionals or inside injury information. Opposite of laying the points is taking the points, which is a point-spread bet on the underdog. Betting on a 7.

Game Information. Key NFL betting terms to know: Against the spread: While there is an outright winner and loser in football games, there is also a winner and loser against the spread. Money line: WThis is the simplest way to bet on a game and refers to the outright winner.

Parlay: A football parlay is used to combine multiple bets into one wager, creating the opportunity for a massive payday. Prop bet: Betting on the spread and total are the most common ways to bet on football, but prop bets have been growing in popularity.

blooket.info's College Basketball expert picks provides daily picks for each game during the season Here are some of my notes: First a little background: Predictions fail because the world is too complicated to be predicted with accuracy and we're wired to Missing

Expert under . prediction - Get the best free picks and expert predictions against the spread and point totals for today's games blooket.info's College Basketball expert picks provides daily picks for each game during the season Here are some of my notes: First a little background: Predictions fail because the world is too complicated to be predicted with accuracy and we're wired to Missing

Raymond James Stadium is the site where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday. Philadelphia opens this game as 2.

This games report has current odds, betting predictions, and free picks against the spread. The Detroit Lions are hosting the Los Angeles Rams at Ford Field on Sunday. Los Angeles opens this game as 3-point dogs. This matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free NFL prediction for tonight.

Green Bay opens this game as 7. The betting total is set at We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread. The Miami Dolphins are traveling to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Kansas City Chiefs Miami opens this game as 3.

Welcome to the wacky world of Week 18 in the NFL. Nearly every game on the schedule this week has its own unique set of circumstances. For the final Sunday Night Football game of the year, the Buffalo Bills will travel to Miami, Florida, to play the division rival Dolphins.

Pittsburgh is 3. The total has been set at This report includes betting odds and our expert football picks for todays game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are traveling to Bank of America Stadium on Sunday where they will go up against the Carolina Panthers Tampa Bay opens this contest as 5.

The Minnesota Vikings are traveling to Ford Field on Sunday where they will go up against the Detroit Lions Detroit is 5-point favorites. Erin Kate Dolan on YouTube. ESPN Deportes. SEC Network. ESPN Fantasy. Tournament Challenge. NBA betting: Eight teams to bet on to make - or miss - the playoffs André Snellings crunches the numbers and takes an in-depth look at the Lakers, Warriors, Knicks and other teams to bet on to either make or miss the NBA playoffs this season.

NBA betting: Six picks for Saturday's slate Eric Moody breaks down his top betting picks for Saturday's five-game slate.

Betting charges vs. ISU athletes set to be dropped The prosecutor handling the sports wagering case against four former or suspended Iowa State athletes has asked a judge to dismiss all charges.

NBA betting: Five picks for Friday's slate Eric Moody breaks down his top betting picks for Friday's nine-game slate. No one is paying you for your gratuitous opinions about other people, but the experts are being paid, and Tetlock claims that the better known and more frequently quoted they are, the less reliable their guesses about the future are likely to be.

People who follow current events by reading the papers and newsmagazines regularly can guess what is likely to happen about as accurately as the specialists whom the papers quote.

Our system of expertise is completely inside out: it rewards bad judgments over good ones. Tetlock is a psychologist—he teaches at Berkeley—and his conclusions are based on a long-term study that he began twenty years ago.

Would there be a nonviolent end to apartheid in South Africa? Would Gorbachev be ousted in a coup? Would the United States go to war in the Persian Gulf? Would Canada disintegrate? Many experts believed that it would, on the ground that Quebec would succeed in seceding.

And so on. By the end of the study, in , the experts had made 82, forecasts. Tetlock also asked questions designed to determine how they reached their judgments, how they reacted when their predictions proved to be wrong, how they evaluated new information that did not support their views, and how they assessed the probability that rival theories and predictions were accurate.

The respondents were asked to rate the probability of three alternative outcomes: the persistence of the status quo, more of something political freedom, economic growth , or less of something repression, recession. And he measured his experts on two dimensions: how good they were at guessing probabilities did all the things they said had an x per cent chance of happening happen x per cent of the time?

The results were unimpressive. On the first scale, the experts performed worse than they would have if they had simply assigned an equal probability to all three outcomes—if they had given each possible future a thirty-three-per-cent chance of occurring.

Human beings who spend their lives studying the state of the world, in other words, are poorer forecasters than dart-throwing monkeys, who would have distributed their picks evenly over the three choices.

Tetlock also found that specialists are not significantly more reliable than non-specialists in guessing what is going to happen in the region they study. Knowing a little might make someone a more reliable forecaster, but Tetlock found that knowing a lot can actually make a person less reliable.

For psychologists, though, nothing could be less surprising. In one study, college counsellors were given information about a group of high-school students and asked to predict their freshman grades in college. The counsellors had access to test scores, grades, the results of personality and vocational tests, and personal statements from the students, whom they were also permitted to interview.

Predictions that were produced by a formula using just test scores and grades were more accurate. There are also many studies showing that expertise and experience do not make someone a better reader of the evidence. In one, data from a test used to diagnose brain damage were given to a group of clinical psychologists and their secretaries.

Tetlock describes an experiment that he witnessed thirty years ago in a Yale classroom. A rat was put in a T-shaped maze. Food was placed in either the right or the left transept of the T in a random sequence such that, over the long run, the food was on the left sixty per cent of the time and on the right forty per cent.

Neither the students nor needless to say the rat was told these frequencies. The students were asked to predict on which side of the T the food would appear each time.

The rat eventually figured out that the food was on the left side more often than the right, and it therefore nearly always went to the left, scoring roughly sixty per cent—D, but a passing grade. The students looked for patterns of left-right placement, and ended up scoring only fifty-two per cent, an F.

The rat, having no reputation to begin with, was not embarrassed about being wrong two out of every five tries. But Yale students, who do have reputations, searched for a hidden order in the sequence. The expert-prediction game is not much different.

When television pundits make predictions, the more ingenious their forecasts the greater their cachet. An arresting new prediction means that the expert has discovered a set of interlocking causes that no one else has spotted, and that could lead to an outcome that the conventional wisdom is ignoring.

More serious commentators differ from the pundits only in the degree of showmanship. These serious experts—the think tankers and area-studies professors—are not entirely out to entertain, but they are a little out to entertain, and both their status as experts and their appeal as performers require them to predict futures that are not obvious to the viewer.

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